Thursday, August 19, 2004

It Ain't Over until the Fat Boy Sings!

I told you yesterday that Muqtada Al-Sadr issued his "surrender" as a stalling tactic. And today I wake up and learn that he has indeed reversed course and now rejects the demands of the National Assembly and the Interim government. Here's Al-Jazeera:

Al-Sadr 'rejects ultimatum' to surrender

Thursday 19 August 2004, 15:14 Makka Time, 12:14 GMT

Shia leader Muqtada al-Sadr has rejected an Iraqi government ultimatum to renounce violence and disband his militia, says a senior aide.

The head of al-Sadr's office in the southern Iraqi city of Nasiriya, Aus al-Khafaji, told Aljazeera Thursday afternoon that the Shia leader had refused to accept a list of tough conditions set out a few hours earlier by Minister of State Kasim Daud.



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Prediction: There are rumors that Muqtada Al-Sadr isn't inside the mosque. It wouldn't surprise me. Saddam Hussein claimed victory in Kuwait because, even though his military had been eviscerated by the Coalition forces, he himself lived. Muqtada Al-Sadr will let all of his followers die in the mosque. He has no problem with that, as long as he himself lives. If he escapes alive, he can brag that he stood up to the mighty Americans and use it as a recruiting tool to build up members for the next go around.



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